Derek Heide's Weather Outlook
April 23, 2014
Lots on the go this period with an active pattern. Best chance of precipitation is later today through Friday as a large storm system affects southern Manitoba. A soaking rain is in the works with amounts up to an inch possible by the end of the week. There may also be a bit of snow mixing in tomorrow night and Friday morning. Drier weather in store for the start of the weekend with precipitation chances increasing afterwards.
Rain is spreading into southwestern Manitoba this morning. Drier air is over the region but moisture will increase this afternoon with rain slowly moving in. Expect a southeast wind and a high of 9. Rain is in the forecast tonight along with a southeast wind and a low of 3. Band of rain pushes north of the region by tomorrow morning with an upper low off to our west or northwest.
Showers are possible throughout the day as upper low provides sufficient lift. A rumble of thunder can't be ruled out either as the low passes overhead. Models suggest there will be some weak instability around and that should be enough for some convective activity in southern Manitoba. The wind won't be much of a factor tomorrow with the high reaching 9 degrees.
Showers remain in the forecast tomorrow night as upper low sinks into the northern U.S. There may be a bit of snow overnight as the low gets down to zero but accumulations are going to be minimal, at best. Friday looks like another unsettled day for us with a chance of showers, a north wind, and a high of 5. Wet snow may mix in with some of the morning activity.
High pressure settles in for the start of the weekend. We'll see a mix of sun and cloud on Saturday with a high of 7. Questions arise as to how the rest of the period will play out. Forecast models are having issues resolving the strength of a blocking high pressure system to our north and a developing storm system to our south. There may be some showers to deal with on Sunday as the high reaches 8.
The below normal temperatures continue early next week. There is a chance of showers on Monday with a high of 8 degrees. Snow/flurry potential will need to be monitored depending on how things play out. For Tuesday, expect a mix of sun and cloud and a high of 9. Blocking pattern should tend to keep temperatures below normal beyond the period.
The sun won't be out much at all in the next 24 to 48 hours as a storm system affects us. The highest rainfall totals are likely in western Manitoba and eastern Saskatchewan with up to two inches possible. Snow is also an increased threat in the aforementioned areas.
Cadenza Summer Music Week
We are approaching the tail end of the music festival season in Southern Manitoba -- Morden, Winkler, Valley Festival of the Arts are all underway. There is, however, another option, for this summer. CFAM is partnering with the summer music program called Cadenza Summer Music Week. Each day will feature a public concert featuring students and teachers in a noon hour concert at PW Enns Centennial Concert Hall. Rochelle Drudge is the director, and Al Friesen spoke with her this morning.
The program takes place June 30th-July 4th.
Call Kayla for more details: (204) 822-6026 OR (204) 331-4472.
Photos supplied by: Cadenza Music Festival
Derek Heide's Weather Outlook
April 22, 2014
The beautiful, dry weather is going to be short-lived as a significant system impacts southern Manitoba in the coming days. Rain is a good bet and there may even be a bit of snow Thursday night and Friday morning. Some convection is also possible as the upper low slowly moves through. Temperatures will trend below normal with a dry weekend anticipated as high pressure system takes control.
Today is the day to enjoy. Mainly sun is in the forecast along with a light southeast wind and a high of 16 degrees. Clouds increase a bit tonight as low pressure organizes to our west. Expect a strengthening southeast wind and a low of +2. Precipitation chances increase tomorrow with a band of rain likely to affect much of southern Manitoba. It's going to be very windy out of the southeast with gusts up to 60 km/h. The forecast high is 9.
Low takes shape in the northern U.S. Plains with an upper low situated over western Saskatchewan. Rain is in the forecast tomorrow night with a strong southeast wind and a low of +2. 10-15 mm is possible. Upper low meanders to the east on Thursday and should support shower activity in the region. A rumble of thunder can't be ruled out with the upper low nearby. It'll be windy, at times, with a high of 8.
Upper low sinks southeast late in the week and there may be a rain/snow mix in spots on Thursday night. This will depend on the track of the low and just how much cold air moves in. Friday features a chance of showers and flurries. It's going to be breezy with a high of +3. High pressure looks to keep us dry for the weekend. Saturday will be partly cloudy with a high of 6.
Sunday should be a warmer day in southern Manitoba. Expect mostly sun and a high of 9. The dry weather persists into the early part of next week with high pressure in place. It'll be mainly sunny on Monday with the high reaching 10 degrees. A "blocky" type pattern is being advertised this weekend and on which should keep us in a dry pattern overall.
Moisture is on the way with up to half an inch of rain possible in much of southern Manitoba. The below image is from the NAM forecast model which shows widespread rain tomorrow evening.
Derek Heide's Weather Outlook
April 21, 2014
There is some nice weather to enjoy early this week with ridge of high pressure overhead. Above normal temperatures are anticipated tomorrow as a strong system takes shape for the rest of the week. This system looks to bring an increased threat of rain and wind in the Wednesday to Friday time frame. There may also be some snow on Thursday night and Friday as cold air moves in.
Low pressure system brought some shower activity to the region last night. In its wake, it should be a dry, breezy day. Expect a mix of sun and cloud, a north wind, and a high of 10 degrees. It'll be mainly clear tonight with a low of -1. Tomorrow is going to be the nicest day of the week with mainly sun, a light wind, and a high of 15. Tomorrow night features a partly cloudy sky, a southeast wind, and a low of +2.
The wind strengthens on Wednesday ahead of an organizing low pressure system in Montana. Moisture will be on the increase and rain is possible. Expect a high of 7. There are still questions on the track of the system which will go a long way in determining how much rain we receive. Rain chances continue on Thursday with the high reaching 6.
System slowly pushes east at the end of the week and that brings up the next concern with this system. Models suggest there could be enough cold air wrapping in behind the system for some snow Thursday night into Friday. This snow should be wet in nature, if it falls, and likely wouldn't stick around all that long as Friday's forecast high is +3. Not what we want to be talking about in late April.
Temperatures should rebound quite nicely for the weekend as ridging settles back in. Saturday will be partly cloudy with a high of 8. We'll see mostly sun on Sunday and a high of 10 degrees. Medium to long range guidance suggests near normal temperatures for next week. Our normal high for this time of year 14 and the low +1.
It was a rather nice Easter Weekend in southern Manitoba. Cumulus and towering cumulus clouds developed along a cold front yesterday and there were even some lightning strikes north of the Trans-Canada Highway in western Manitoba.
Savour Manitoba -- Cornell Creme
It is Thursday. Our day to enjoy and celebrate another tasty Manitoba product. We call this Savour Manitoba. Today, Cornell Creme -- a made in Manitoba ice cream by Lisa and William Dyck of Anola. Cornell Dairy is North of Steinbach between Beausejour and Anola. The farm was named after William's dad, Cornelius who continues help out. They milk 120 cows every day, twice a day, 365 days a year or almost 98,000 litres per month. And when Lisa joined us this morning, she talked about the "need" for another ice cream in Manitoba.
Cornell Creme is available at select food stores and restaurants across Manitoba including Main Bread and Butter Stbh, and Rural Roots Food Cooperative Boissevain
If you have a suggestion for another Savour Manitoba guest, email us!
Derek Heide's Weather Outlook
April 17, 2014
The minus temperatures, for highs at least, won't be making an appearance this period as a significant warm-up is still in the works. Above normal temperatures are anticipated heading into the early part of next week. Low pressure system and associated warm front will affect us late tomorrow into Saturday, bringing a threat of rain and maybe some snow. A strong system may affect us mid to late next week.
Today is going to be the warmest day of the week. Mainly sun is in the forecast along with a light north wind and a high of +2. It'll be partly cloudy tonight with a low of -6. Clouds increase tomorrow as a low pressure system approaches. Precipitation should hold off through the afternoon. Expect a rather strong southeast wind, at times, with the high reaching 6 degrees.
Rain spreads into the region tomorrow evening and the potential is there for some snow or freezing rain overnight as the low gets down to zero. Roads may become slick tomorrow night into Saturday morning. Precipitation tapers off Saturday morning as the best forcing moves off. We'll see a mix of sun and cloud, a light wind, and a high of 11. There is a chance of showers.
Double digit highs will be the story for the rest of the period. Easter Sunday will be partly cloudy with a high of 14. A weak wave moves through Sunday night into Monday and may bring some shower activity to the region but not much more. A beautiful start to next week with high pressure taking control. Monday features mostly sun and a high of 14 degrees. There may be a shower around early in the day.
The warm weather continues on Tuesday with mostly sun in the forecast and a high of 15. The pattern becomes active by the middle of next week as a trough moves onto the U.S. Plains. Ridge of high pressure shifts east, as a result, allowing moisture to move north. Rain is possible on Wednesday with a high of 12. A large storm system may take shape in the northern U.S. late next week which could result in a wet, windy finish to next week.
The below is from the GFS forecast model, valid on Wednesday afternoon. It shows the potential for rain in much of southern Manitoba along with gusty winds. This system bears watching as it could be a significant one.
Red River Valley Festival of the Arts
The Red River Valley Festival of the Arts began this week at Buhler Hall, MCI Gretna. Loren Hiebert is the President of the Festival, and gave us his take on 2014.
Here is the festival schedule:
Click Here to view PDF
Derek Heide's Weather Outlook
April 16, 2014
Quite a bit on the go this period as we look forward to the Easter Weekend and beyond. No major precipitation events are anticipated, at this time, with the best chance coming Friday night into Saturday. The big story is a significant warm-up with temperatures rising above normal by early next week as ridge of high pressure shifts east over southern Manitoba. This may be followed by a more active pattern mid to late next week.
Low pressure system is bringing snow to parts of the Dakotas and Minnesota this morning. Cold high to our north will keep us dry today but quite cold. Expect a mix of sun and cloud, a northeast wind, and a high of -1. It'll be partly cloudy and breezy tonight with a low of -13. A slightly warmer day in store for us tomorrow with mainly sun, a light wind, and a high of +1. Tomorrow night features a clear sky and a low of -7.
Good Friday starts off on a sunny note but clouds are going to increase ahead of a low pressure system. There will be a light southeast wind and a high of 5. Precipitation chances increase on Friday night with the potential of rain and snow in the region. Some minor accumulations are possible. Timing is still in question but any snow on Saturday morning should change over to rain by afternoon with the high reaching 8 degrees.
The rest of the period looks very nice as ridge of high pressure moves overhead. Easter Sunday will be mainly sunny with a high of 12. Temperatures rise above normal early next week. Monday features mostly sun and a high of 15. Tuesday will be mainly sunny, as well, with the high reaching 16 degrees. Models have hinted at an active pattern developing at some point next week as a trough moves onto the U.S. Plains. Time will tell.
Flooding is often a concern at this time of year in southern Manitoba but nothing significant is anticipated. That has a lot of folks very happy.
Rosenort Ladies Spring Tea
A Ladies Spring Tea took place last night at the Rosenort Fellowship Chapel. Jayme Giesbrecht was there as a singer, and came back inspired by the words of guest speaker Wilma Derksen. Not to mention the BEAUTIFUL centerpieces! The theme was SHOES, and Wilma focused in on the different spiritual shoes we wear...
Dennis Thiessen -- Recognition Night, MB Sports Hall of Fame
The Manitoba Sports Hall of Fame was buzzing last night with conversation, laughs, hugs, tears and the warm memories of a successful Sochi performance for Manitoba Paralympian Dennis Thiessen as part of the gold medal winning Jim Armstrong Team Canada
Last night's recognition night was organized by the Canadian Sport Centre of Manitoba and co-hosted by Al Friesen and Michelle Sawatzky. As the crowd started to thin, Al sat down with Dennis to get his impressions of the evening.
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